Not sure why my post was deleted. It was clearly on topic so will just post a section of it again:
In all seriousness. I actually agree with you (in part). There is the potential for IP1 to be all the things you say it could be. But there is also the possibility that it all comes to nought.I've arrived at the view that the probability of it coming to nought (or little), is greater than the chance than it comes to something huge.
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