KDY 0.00% 2.7¢ kaddy limited

DW8 Growth, page-4009

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    DW8 DCF Based Valuation

    Current MC = $183M at 11c SP

    Current revenue - $4M pa run rate

    1 yr = $20M pa at current growth 400% YOY

    2 yr = $60M pa at half growth 200% YOY

    3 yr = $120M pa at half growth 100% YOY

    $120M revenue in 2024 x 5 multiple same as TWE prior China crash = $600M MC

    Thus $600M MC @ 15% DCF = 57.175% thus $343M & 20.6c SP

    @ 10% DCF = 68.3% thus $409.8M & 24.6c SP

    At $100M revenue in 2024 & multiple x5 same as TWE prior China crash = $500M MC

    Thus $500M MC @ 15% DCF = 57.175% thus $285.75M & 17c SP

    @ 10% DCF = 68.3% thus $341.5M & 20.5c SP

    Last edited by steve10: 18/03/21
 
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