PEN 10.0% 11.0¢ peninsula energy limited

2.8c placement, page-44

  1. 231 Posts.
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    will sp fall or not?

    REGARDING THE EFFECT OF DILUTION:

    m SHARES
    961 Jan09 per website
    236 placement 6.61 m$
    160 spp @ 1:6 4.48 m$
    1,357 total

    m OPTIONS
    269 Jan09 per website
    59 placement
    40 spp @ 1:6
    368 total

    DILUTION-1. (considering shares only, not options)
    Most pessimistic (silly) assumption is that
    the cash raised is worth nothing
    in relation to value of the IG assets.

    961 Shares Jan09 per website
    0.036 current sp
    34.60 = market cap mS

    1,357 Shares after placement
    34.60 divided by market cap
    0.025 = diluted sp

    DILUTION-2. (considering shares only, not options)
    Cash raised valued at face value.

    961 Shares Jan09 per website
    0.036 current sp
    34.60 = market cap mS

    1,357 Shares after placement
    45.70 divided by market cap = $raised
    0.034 = diluted sp

    One should argue that the cash is worth MORE than face value as it provides ability to unlock wealth.

    This suggests sp will NOT fall to 2.8, therefore all will take up entitlement, and this week you can buy more on market to participate, which could in turn send sp UP briefly
 
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