MKR 2.78% 3.7¢ manuka resources ltd.

Ann: Quarterly Activities and Quarterly Cashflow Report, page-27

  1. 9,775 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 3480
    imo you are all correct but again you need to frame your Q/A relative to the sector values

    at 43c sp, MKR trades at an implied EV of $33M on my assumption the mill is worth $100m mark to market

    IVR trades at $100M EV with no mine - and they both have 50Moz in silver JORC at present with some desultory non silver value

    So the questions to ask yourself is
    - can MKR run cashflow positive on its remaining gold then its silver - which is half the grade of IVR's
    - whats the probability MKR get better vs worse at production mgt
    - whats the downside risk in the event there's a small hole in capital funding vs a deep hole vs what you pay for alternative exposures

    anyone who buys precious metal mining stocks without an eye to precious metal spot price upside vs downside is bonkers - as spot price is the main determinant of how the equities price regardless of profitability

    as EVN's current sp illustrates - that is as close to a seamless deep margin operator as you will get in ASX precious metals. but its sp is primarily determined by gold spot price, not its cost base or certainty of being net profitable

    ultimately - most of the factors suggest MKR is undervalued... even if the company has to undertake a CR to fill a small hole.

    there is a small chance that a big miss means a more appreciable drawdown and larger CR. So its not a stock I could have 100% of my portfolio in

    its often said its more dangerous to go mining than to mine the market - for this reason

    but against all that needs to be set the far higher upside if gold/silver move higher from here - as MKR on any breakout should attract far higher multiples as a producer vs an explorer

    the stock is obviously priced for most of that - basically waiting for metal price to set direction

    technically its pregnant with breakout potential . so the risk reward scenario is excellent

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3137/3137326-b7a5714266d2e25aab2b36b9477e371a.jpg





 
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3.7¢
Change
0.001(2.78%)
Mkt cap ! $28.11M
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3.7¢ 3.7¢ 3.7¢ $7.483K 202.2K

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No. Vol. Price($)
4 608405 3.7¢
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
3.9¢ 80000 1
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