My assumptions—not an advice:
Assuming AUD$1140 million revenue and 20% EBITDA margin—we should be expecting around AUD$224 million EBITDA.
Assuming no growth, the company should be valued around AUD$2500 million or $3.35 per share.
The cash reserve I believe will dwindle dramatically over time. At the moment the company is expecting cash reserve of around AUD$475 million after MVM is paid. I also believe there is going to be yet another downgrade, so If we assume another 20 percent to EBITDA, we get 1.8 billion market cap or $2.25 per share.
A2M Strategic Valuation, page-73
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