I agree with everything you're saying. Except that your numbers may be too conservative. At the time of the BFS phosphate prices were at multi-year lows and have recently begun a rebound.
The BFS, works on an estimate of $71 AUD for sale price... ($54USD) which equates to the $14 million AUD annual EBIDTA. given that the numbers are now closer to $100USD ($132AUD) pictured above you can re do the maths, subtracting the $11 opex and land at.....
306,000 tons X $122AUD sales price = $37,332,000AUD EBIDTA
Now i am not entirely sure how sensitive this all is to currency fluctuations in the BRL, USD and AUD.... that math is too hard for me.
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2.9¢ |
Change
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Mkt cap ! $31.40M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
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Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 450000 | 2.7¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
2.9¢ | 130000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 450000 | 0.027 |
1 | 200000 | 0.026 |
1 | 396050 | 0.025 |
1 | 250000 | 0.024 |
3 | 442856 | 0.021 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.029 | 130000 | 1 |
0.030 | 1296666 | 4 |
0.031 | 55555 | 1 |
0.032 | 100000 | 1 |
0.045 | 90939 | 1 |
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