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Ann: Investor Update - InvestorStream Interview, page-6

  1. 15,039 Posts.
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    I agree with everything you're saying. Except that your numbers may be too conservative. At the time of the BFS phosphate prices were at multi-year lows and have recently begun a rebound.



    The BFS, works on an estimate of $71 AUD for sale price... ($54USD) which equates to the $14 million AUD annual EBIDTA. given that the numbers are now closer to $100USD ($132AUD) pictured above you can re do the maths, subtracting the $11 opex and land at.....

    306,000 tons X $122AUD sales price = $37,332,000AUD EBIDTA

    Now i am not entirely sure how sensitive this all is to currency fluctuations in the BRL, USD and AUD.... that math is too hard for me.
    Last edited by blister: 22/06/21
 
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