3 : 1 odds Vic & WA lockdown?, page-29

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    Hi Fazz03,
    All about risks and odds.
    No vaccination is 100% , either in preventing disease or preventing transmission.
    But they are a hell of a lot better than 0%.
    So when you are doing the sums and working out strategy to counter outbreaks , a high percentage of the population vaccinated gives you a lot more room to play with.
    For instance, if 80% of WA was vaccinated, the 3 day lockdown would be unlikely to be necessary , as any spread that might have occurred , or was likely to occur , would happen more slowly , allowing tracing to be more effective.
    As well , the consequences of more widespread illness is less for hospital systems , as the amount of severe illness in infected people is markedly less. And that is important , because people dont just die from covid when hospitals are overloaded , if you have had a heart attack and all your critical care beds are full , your survival odds go down.
    So someone like me might have had a 4 to 10% chance of hospital , that is probably reduced by 75% , as well as my chance of getting the disease in the first place going down by 70 to 80%.
    Figures are probably a tad better for Pfizer.
    So I have had the jabs .
    Do I , and should I , feel less at risk ,and am I a lesser risk to the rest of you , you betcha[at least from covid].

    And on Melbourne , as long as you live on the tram map , best city in the world[ not so good further out].


 
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