Ann: MyDeal Delivers Another Record Year with Gross Sales Up 111%, page-17

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newbtr8a

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07/07/21

11:51

Post #: 54338950
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Originally posted by Jonesy11: ↑

4Q21 GTVa marginal miss, but still growing YoY
4Q21trading update.Brief update, only sales and customer numbers provided.4Q21Gross Sales (GTV)$46.6m (up 13% on pcp) anda ~4% miss toourforecasts, while the full year FY21 GTV ~1% miss to RBCe.
-4Q21 GTV up 13% on pcp, implying a~4% QoQ growth in quarterly GTV
-Marketplace(MP) GTV amarginalmiss to our estimates; however, Private label divisioncame in line with RBCe and performedahead of marketplace on a QoQ basis, with 4Q revenue of $2.4m (up 9% QoQ)
-Active customers 894,225,with monthly customer additions slowing down towards 4Q19 levels (from~23.2kin 3Q21 to ~3.6k in 4Q21)
-iOS and Android appslaunchedinMay and early signs positive

RBC Fundamental View
Outperform rating onMYD, with$1.20/share price target.
Today’s update seesthe top-line come in pretty close to our expectations, as MYDcontinues to cycle off COVID comps in 4Q. Noting that the 4Qisusuallyone ofthe stronger seasonal quarters,MYD has recorded QoQ growth; however, only in low single digit, to us indicating broader online retail demand continues to moderate slightly. While MYD’s customer base now sits close to the 900k mark, customer acquisition has slowed down back to mid-2019 levels(largely as expected)and now the focus for the business will likely be on customer re-engagement, repeat order activity and transaction frequency, as the customers acquired through COVID only have value if they return to repurchase.MYD’s private label has performed in line with our expectations with 4Q revenues beinghealthy and wethink this can continue to ramp up as the product range is expanded and the business invests in more inventory. All in all, MYD has recorded YoY growth in sales in 4Q (the first full quarter to cycle COVID) against a peer set in which we expect to see some negative comps recorded.

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Thanks for sharing Jonesy.

RBC has a price target of $1.20 share price which I think is still quite low considering their growth rate, gross sales and active customers when you benchmark against their peers.

For comparison, someone like TPW has a $1b market cap with only fractionally higher sales, MYD becomes a very attractive proposition.

Private label is growing fast which is great to see. I believe this business is operating at around 40% + gross margin. I expect to see some serious institutional support in the coming weeks to drive the price even higher.

MYD Price at posting: 69.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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0 Great analysis

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