ASM 7.52% 61.5¢ australian strategic materials limited

Ann: Framework Agmt for 20% stake in Dubbo Project and Offtake, page-132

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  1. 818 Posts.
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    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3387/3387821-8d98fde7f870605626b3e69101df3dc8.jpg

    This states the sale price of the oxide is around $US90per kg and the metal $110per kg. The agreement with the Korean Investing Partnership includes an offtake agreement of 2,800 tonnes per year of FeNdB.

    From my uninformed position, I multiply 2,800 tonnes per year by $US100 per kg to reach $US280m per year in sales revenue. I assume a 50% profit margin and deduce $US140m per year profit. Dividing this by the 140m shares on issue I get $US1 per share. Assuming an earnings multiple of 20 gives me $US20 per share or $A26 per share.

    I would appreciate a more informed person explaining where I have made an error in this guess of the value of the offtake agreement.

 
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