Either the chances of Shell exercising their option is good (therefore much of the success factored into the share price) - target 20c
or
The chances of shell exercising are not so good, (therefore only a small amount of success factored into the price) - target 30c-40c.
So which is it? This is the law of risk and return. If hotcopper is representative of "the market" then I would say scenario one as many on here say the shell decision is just about a definite.
Thoughts anyone?
assuming, page-3
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50.0¢ |
Change
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Mkt cap ! $46.20M | |||
| Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
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| No. | Vol. | Price($) |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5993 | 50.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
| Price($) | Vol. | No. |
|---|---|---|
| 50.5¢ | 5982 | 1 |
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