SBM 0.00% 20.0¢ st barbara limited

Ann: Quarterly Report Q4 June FY21, page-3

  1. 13,079 Posts.
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    new template, mmmm

    ok haven't had time to go through the cash claim of 100M yet to see how that was achieved,

    following is a summary of FY actual s vs revised lowered  guidance and 2022 guidance.

    It says alot


    sbm fy summary and guidance 2022.JPG
    and some for guidance metrics being used , mmm

    sbm 2022 forecast metrics.JPG
    production FY 2021
    Atlantic made the bottom of the range
    Gealia made bottom of revised lower guidance
    Simbiri missed but they withdrew guidance

    2022 guidance for the group expected to be either 305- 355.....

    Midpoint is basically what was produced this year - poor outlook imo

    but that is a drop from last years initial guidance and isn't exactly representing high growth production profile to capitlaise on potentially high or rising gold prices

    Haven't seen the detail but Atlantic, which cost a lot for sure is now expected to  drop production this year 65-85 K which is significantly lower than this years actuals and somewhat surprising given the amount spent as per previous announcements to build production quicker......if it only does 65K then the amount invested and spent has seen a negative production outcome since takeover, I certainly didn't expect production to be going backwards from acquisition after all this time....but Ill check it out further.

    Obviously costs are also set, with the exception of Gwalia which falls a bit to increase in 2022

    Simberi, that operation wont be making much if anything at these gold prices
    Gwalia costs are still quite high despite previous development forecasts which have changed over the last few years
    Altantic, with its much lower production forecast, its prices are forecast to jump considerably in 2022.

    Looks like another struggle street in 2022 coming imo but will have a deeper look later.

    shocked at forecast for Atlantic

    Anyhoo good luck
 
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