The APT take over has validated share prices in the BNPL sector. Basically APT has been paid 130% of current MSV run rate.
Applying that approach to SPT reduced because SPT is of lesser scale to 100% of MSV you might see SPT increase rapidly over the next few weeks.
If the Board gives guidance at end of August that MSV will increase beyond the current A$500m reported in the webinar last week the share price should be materially higher than today.
Using the $500m MSV run rate should place the company’s value at $500m plus which means the share price is 2.3 x under valued. The share price should be $1.03 if APT transaction is comparable with a discount.
If the pipeline work done by the company lifts MSV to $1b by December quarter (just a possibility IMO) the share price should be above $2 by December.
The APT transaction validates the sectors value.
SPT should clear out traders and short holders with the APT news and should start its re-rate journey.
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