AGY 2.78% 3.7¢ argosy minerals limited

General Discussion AGY, page-1411

  1. 1,167 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 134
    Let's do a proper-ish valuation to keep things in check lol

    2000 tpa of high grade lithium carbonate.
    the spot price of lithium carbonate is about A$17500
    2000 * 17500 = $35,000,000

    Let's use an EBITDA multiplier of 20 to account for the fact that 10,000tpa is on the cards by FY24 alongside the heat in the lithium markets:

    $35,000,000 * 20 = $700,000,000 MC

    $700,000,000 / 1.1bn SOI = ~A$0.64

    This doesn't account for Tonopah or an increase in spot 99% purity lithium carbonate.

    A rerate to a new base around $0.35 wouldn't be off the cards using this conservative mathematics


 
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