GLN 16.7% 12.5¢ galan lithium limited

Compelling opportunity, page-2800

  1. 73 Posts.
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    GLNLKEAGYLPI
    1Share Price0.9950.530.150.29
    2




    3Primary AssetBrine, Hombre Muerto West (100%), ArgentinaBrine, Kachi, (100%) ArgentinaBrine, Rincon Project (90%), ArgentinaBrine, Minera Salar Blanco (51%) Maricunga, Chile
    4




    5Production Capacity20,000 tpa, 40yr LOM25,500 tpa, 25yr LOM2,000 tpa rising to 10,000 tpa, 16.5yr LOM20,000 tpa, 20yr LOM
    6




    7Secondary AssetsBrine, Candelas, (Arg):Hard Rock, Greenbushes, (W.A.)Brine, Cauchari, (Arg): Brine, Olaroz (Arg)Brine, Tonopah Project (100%), NevadaHard Rock, Tabba Tabba (100%), Pilgangoora, WA: Rock, Greenbushes (100%) WA
    8




    9Primary Resource (LCE)HMW Indicated = 2.267 Mt @ 946 mg/l, Candelas Indicated = 0.685 Mt @ 685 mg/lIndicated = 1.005 Mt @ 289 mg/l, Total Resource = 4.4 Mt @ 211 mg/lIndicated = 0.245 Mt @ 325 mg/lMeasured = 0.7767 Mt @ 1,175 mg/l, Indicated = 1.293 Mt @ 1,153 mg/l Total M & I = 2.070 Mt @ 1,167 mg/l
    10




    11Market Cap (A$)$284,175,537$560,740,000$187,540,756$87,275,402
    12




    13Cash on Hand$65,000,000$25,000,000$29,800,000$6,281,000
    14




    15EV (A$)$219,175,537$535,740,000$157,740,756$80,994,402
    16




    17NPV8 Post Tax $A$977,380,951$2,286,777,708$444,315,734$684,809,887
    18




    19Assumed LOM Sales Price$11,687$15,500$13,000$14,400
    20




    21NPV8 Post Tax $A per Share3.752.200.342.28
    22




    23EV / NPV22%23%39%12%
    24




    25Share price / Theoretical27%24%44%13%
    26




    27EV / Indicated Resource$74.25$533.07$643.84$39.13
    28




    29Near Term Upside CaseHigher assumed Li2CO3 price, increase production from 20 ktpa to 25 ktpaIncreased production from 25.5 ktpa to 51 ktpaHigher assumed Li2CO3 price, NPV8Higher assumed Li2CO3 price, extend LOM from 20 to 25yr
    30




    31Near Term Upside Price7.984.760.542.90
    32




    33Upside Share Price Ratio12%11%28%10%
    34




    35PFS✔️✔️✔️
    36




    37DFSExpected Q2 2022Expected Q1 2022
    ✔️ Apr '2019
    38




    39Fully PermittedESI granted Feb 2021
    40




    41Minor Offtake
    42




    43Major OfftakeMOU with Mitsui, 15ktpa for 10 yrs
    44




    45FID


    expected Q4 '21
    46




    47Financing to FID✔️✔️
    48




    49Project Financing????? UK Export Agency
    50




    51Management / Directors21%<5%12.50%23%
    52




    53Strategic InvestorGangfeng = 7.1%, Thematica = 4.9%not S/H but strategic relationship with Mitsui and Codelco
    54




    55First productionQ1 2025, full pdn mid '26H1 '2024mid 2022 (initial 2000 tpa)mid '2024

    Not sure if this will be of interest to anyone else, but I'm trying to do a bit of a comparison between some of the Aus listed brine companies... Any feedback or corrections would be appreciated - I'm also posting this on the LKE site.

 
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