I have had a look at some patterns in light of atlunch suggesting leaving out 1987 from average year patterns and also leaving 1929-32 out of decennial patterns.
They do make a difference although on a average yearly pattern they suggest that the best case is that from early Sep to year end is choppy sideways instead of a sharp decline and weak rally.
It still suggests that an agressive long position is unwarranted and a short position may leave you unrewarded but at least not at a loss.
But averages are averages and not a guarantee of anything.
I still see next year as anything but inspiring and probably very negative.
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