Updated numbers to reflect the latest announcement. SA Exports were effectively half what they were forecasting in July/August however the realised blended rate of $177p/t was a good outcome.
I have incorporated the projected blended rate of $230p/t for the December Qtr with lower SA Export tonnage. There is a strong chance that the blended rate for December will increase given the current movement in futures.
UniTrader - My numbers are all based on TER's previous announcements, every month they will provide sales for the previous period and an annualised tonnage projection. EBITDA is effectively the contract price they received for their coal (FOB) minus the operating costs to extract and deliver the coal to the port including government royalties which fluctuates as a percentage of the achieved sale price for the coal. TER had a FOB cost base for the 2021 financial year of $62.80p/t
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