There has to be a formula for this, incorporating the fact that 'the market usually knows', sort of along the lines of the old 'half your age plus ten' rule..
My guess? '1.5 x the TSV close this Monday, minus the 1 x the close last Friday'
eg:
If it closes at 3c on Monday, then (3x1.5)-2.8=1.7
If it closes at 4c on Monday, then (4x1.5)-2.8=3.2
If it closes at 5c on Monday, then (5x1.5)-2.6=4.7
And so on, up to 10c (=12.2)
The market will decide..
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