Yea, I rode Arrium into the ground, averaging down along the way. Lost $50k from my super. It took five years to get my 10-year rate of return above zero again. I took away some lessons:
- Learn to distinguish between meaningless ramping (up or down) and solid conclusions.
- People who top up on dips without questioning the fundamentals are stupid and belong on your ignore list.
- People who say "you've only lost money if you sell" are stupid and belong on your ignore list.
- People who use terms like "tightly wound, rebound, stretched" don't know what they're talking about and belong on your ignore list. The share price is not a piece of elastic. It has no memory of where it was before, and no desire to go back there.
- People who use similes like "train leaving station, rocket ready to launch" are stupid and belong on your ignore list.
- People who say "tick tock" are stupid and belong on your ignore list.
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