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06/11/21
20:29
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Originally posted by CEOChair
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on 18/10, I posted:
POSCO’s 2nd Sep revised $4.40 bid was based on a 40% premium to the 30 day VWAP at the time. This amounts to a 19% premium to the 30 day VWAP to 15th Oct, which I calculate is therefore $3.70. Therefore, if the going rate is indeed 40%, then POSCO would be considering upping their final offer to around $5.18.
However, according to my software, the 30 day VWAP is currently $4.43. (Please advise if anyone has different number.)
A 40% premium is therefore now currently $6.20. (And a 19% premium would be $5.27.)
That’s not a prediction, it doesn’t necessarily work like that, just a guide - $5.18 to $6.20 is perhaps the range of possibility. They might even try it on at around $4.80, where it spiked to, but I don’t think the board will take it seriously.
I would enjoy $6.20 as much as anyone. Frankly, I’m not going to lose any sleep if it’s at the lower end, my time in SXY will have been handsomely rewarded and there are plenty of places I can try and make another 20% or get a better dividend. Neither will I lose any sleep if there is no offer forthcoming or another lo-ball effort that stands little chance, because SXY will get there in the end in any case and I was more than happy to hold to 2025/6 before POSCO showed up.
GL
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To many people are attached to this stock. Future dividends are appealing, but anything above $6 and I'm selling out. Even at the $5.40 range I'm a seller. That's a $1B valuation, and looks great on ID's resumé.
Back yourself to find the next Senex Energy..