All very valid points again , Joinoz ....and they help us "desk top jockeys "bounce these what if thoughts around !
I accept ...as most of us do ....we are simply flying kites and likely way off the mark , on what will soon play out !
But just to add to the mix of today's discussion .
Yes , the $US250M ( or $A 370M ) for 20% from the consortium , should go ahead and provide a very substantial start up "deposit for Toongi .
And , as Woodall said in the Korean Newspaper interview in October about a further "strategic investor consortium " coming on board ( maybe thats the "BUILD AND PAY " suggestion/option for Power Plant / Sulphuric Acid supply __I forget the specific terms used earlier!) , that might provide further sizeable relief /reduction to the original capex of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion ??!!!
Maybe total Funding contribution from the South Korean Interests provides $A 600M ....leaving ASM with circa $A 600M to Fund .
The Letter of Support from the EFA ( 28th June ) is for a further $A 200M ...but this is still a "repayable debt"! Looking at the conditions , as extracted below:
"As outlined in EFA’s non-binding letter of support, a successful outcome from the EFA assessment
and due diligence process is contingent on a number of conditions, summarised below:
• securing offtake commitments for metal products, which diversify critical metal supply chains;
• execution of a lump sum turnkey fixed date contract with an acceptable engineering contractor
for the engineering, construction and commissioning of the Project;
• finalising the Project’s funding plan including the raising of equity and securing funding from
other lenders;
• meeting eligibility criteria, credit and risk requirements, including, but not limited to, EFA’s
“know your customer” and anti-bribery requirements and checks; and
• the Project receiving the required regulatory and environmental approvals.I am just not sure the conservatism of the ASM BOARD would be "comfortable "with debt of this level ,particularly with some of the overall current economic uncertainties in this crazy Covid /Clean Climate/ political times , particularly when just commencing quite a huge construction as the Toongi Plant will be .
Watching the Bathurst excitement as I scribble this ...some irony that its being held in the ASM/ALK part of the world that has/is /will benefit long term holders substantially --and we are hours away from knowing the winner of the race , as well as the next step of ASM's stiry unfolding !
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