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New Poll Huge 10.5% swing to Labor in WA, page-89

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Cowboyinvestor

23,686 Posts.

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14/01/22

09:07

Post #: 58854425
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Originally posted by Cowboyinvestor: ↑

That's how a swing occurs.. If you hold a seat by a margin of 10% and 3% of that margin in sliced off into a predominantly held seat by the opposition, you have lost 3% margin.

I'm not sure some of you understand the metrics of elections.

Go read Antony Green's pendulum piece. By his calculations its an 8.6% swing to Labor in WA based on the redistribution of seats and electoral boundaries.

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go and read Antony Green's work. He predicts a 8.6% swing caused by the redistribution.
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