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swaggytrader

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20/01/22

17:28

Post #: 59018474
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Originally posted by Pointyfigures: ↑

I thought I would throw this up to kill any arguments that crypto and gold are competing or have the same underlying drivers.
Here is a sentiment indicator for the crypto sector. Still in a downtrend.
It is constructed using the same principles as the gold sentiment indicator using around 300 cryptos to generate.
Green line showing the trend and the yellow oval a trap. Welcome to mainstream charting.
As you can see, prior to mid-August, sentiment was all over the place and spiking up and down over a few days from near 0% to over 90%.
The blue plot is equivalent to the data used for gold sentiment. This is where prices have moved 15% or more.
The red line is used for cryptos - 30% moves. Commodity/gold stocks on steroids.
It also cycles between extremes.
Be interesting to see if cryptos have a similar basing pattern to gold stocks. As far as I can tell, the real bottom of this trend is 2 - 3 months away (near 0%) though the better cryptos may hold some long term support levels.
The first attempted break in the trend was around 19 Oct, 2021 when the BTC ETF began.
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The young investors love Crypto, they've never been burnt before, but they'll learn like the rest of us. Check out this inverted chart Barrick gold V the S&P-500. I'm almost tempted to take some of the bashers off ignore, but, will let them suffer in their own wallow.

Last edited by swaggytrader: 20/01/22
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1 Great analysis

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