Highly unlikely in my un-informed view. It's more likely Putin getting a bit more aggressive with posturing to attempt to reduce the NATO deployments in East Europe. I don't entirely blame him but be mindful Western Media is going to sell this as the Big Bad Russia causing trouble. I do worry if Putin is having trouble keeping his house in order as if this is the case, an external threat (war) would help maintain his control.
I believe its more likely leverage to try and strengthen his argument and push the European leaders.
There is a lot more value for us in peace times where conflict is a risk and at-home risks need to be addressed. I don't think war would be good for us (as munitions based solutions are workable in war vs. peacetime applications i.e. Jails, Airport, Stadium etc.
Oleg shared the below graphic on LinkedIn today.
https://media-exp1.licdn.com/dms/image/C5622AQHnHMt740qA4Q/feedshare-shrink_2048_1536/0/1643058303624?e=1646265600&v=beta&t=8IjWq4bd4ht6zvu-XzXtl0B-D_ROFekBDjUvXS0GGt8
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