Quick reminder
QPM :
- 255m$ Market cap
- 1.54 bn Shares on issue
- 47m$ Cash on hand
Planned production :
- 16kt Ni contained = 72kt Ni sulfates
- 1.8kt Co contained = 8.8kt Co sulfates
- 700kt Hematite 66% Fe
- 4kt 4nHPA
- 40kt Magnesia
Current commodity prices :
- Ni sulfates = 6550 us$/t
- Co sulfates = 16940 us$/t
- Hematite 66% Fe = 170 us$/t
- 4nHPA = 25000 us$/t
- Magnesia = 200-1200 us$/t depending on MGO purity
Expected annual revenue :
- Ni sulfates = 471.6m us$
- Co sulfates = 149.1m us$
- Hematite = 119m us$
- 4nHPA = 100m us$
- Magnesia = variable (purity and process reuse)
Total revenue of 839.7m us$ = 1.2 bn au$ per annum at current commodity prices.
Expected OPEX :
163m au$ for 565kt (PFS) = 433m au$ for 1500kt
20% safety margin => 519m$ OPEX per annum
Expected steady state NPAT :
~50m au$ sustaining capex
~30m au$ corporate costs
30% tax
=> 421m$ NPAT
I expect ~2.5bn shares on issue by the time steady state is achieved (~2025).
EPS of 16.84c/share.
As the Capex is the biggest hurdle, much of the value being unlocked depends on the financing package IMO.
From there, it will be smooth sailing.
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