Institutional holders look at the stock value from EPS (Earnings per share) point of view by assuming a P/E ratio.
You can see my calculation below. We have two scenarios. NPV calculated for the assumed sales price and NPV for the current prices.
The min stock price for the worst case is $1.67 for the spod sales at $1,400/t. However the current spod price is $3,250 which implies to a stock price of $4.17. Even the average of these two numbers is close to $3.
When we look at the integrated refinery (lith.hydroxide) sales the stock price goes to $3.81 for the old DSS price of lith. hyd for $29,400/t. It's now going at $53,000/t, and that implies to $6.95 stock price value.
Assumed P/E ratio here is 20. It can be much higher or slightly lower depends on the market conditions.
ASX Today, page-17114
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