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COVID AND THE VACCINE - TRUTH, LIES, AND MISCONCEPTIONS REVEALED, page-34584

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tammydog

307 Posts.

10/03/22

14:51

Post #: 60116236
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Originally posted by tammydog: ↑

In trying to work out the actual risk of death (NSW) based on the latest real data, I have been informed that even though the vaccinated appear to be dying at a greater rate, one must divide them into the total population to get a correct result.
So you take the total of the eligible (over 15 years) and divide the respective deaths into the population number.This is how they get 3x, 10x, 20x, 100x etc. risk of the unvaccinated compared to the vacced.
The eligible to be vaccinated I estimate at about 6,676,000. Of that 94% is 6,275,400 and unvaccinated at about 400,560.Let's see what we get for February in NSW

Deaths 509
Unvac 114
ALL Vacc 395

114/400,560 = 0.00028 or 0.028% risk of dying
395/6,275,400 = 0.000063 or 0.0063 risk of dying

Divide 0.00028/0.000063 = 4.66
The unvaccinated are 4.66x likely to die as the vaccinated.
That's the negative view, the positive way to look at it is, there is a 99.97% chance of NOT dying for the unvaccinated and a 99.99% chance for the vaccinated. And that's for folk with underlying conditions!!

But what would we be likely to see published "Unvaccinated 4.6x more likely to die" or "Extremely low chance of death regardless of vaccination status".

Then I wondered, why should the children not be included as unvacced simply because they were not eligible at the time. They can carry the virus, spread it, get sick from it and are out and about mixing etc.Will post an update soon.

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Here are the figures for the NSW deaths in February including the 5-14 age group, figures approximate. Please disect/challenge my conclusions, if I'm wrong I want to know it.

Deaths 509
Unvac 114
ALL Vacc 395

Unvaccinated 400,560 + 724,000 = 1,124,560
Vaccinated 6,275,000 + 300,000 = 6,575,000

114/1,124,560 = 0.00010
395/6,575,000 = 0.00006

0.00010/0.00006 = 1.66
So for February in NSW the unvaccinated were only 1.66x likely to die than the vaccinated, compared to 4.66x without the 5-14 population. Almost identical to the NZ figure of 1.45x
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