NHC 0.67% $4.48 new hope corporation limited

Even if coal prices…, page-10

  1. 368 Posts.
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    Thought I would do some rough calcs as to what earnings per share one could expect from NHC at various Coal prices. These rae just my rough numbers and gives me some perspective if coal prices drop that NHC is still very profitable.
    The current coal spot price is US$346. Assuming only NSW production I estimate an annual earnings per share of A$2.59. Nearly the same as the share price!
    The average coal price for FY22 (1 Feb to date) I estiamte to be around US$300 (all depends when sales were taking place). So for the past month and a half we have already banked one and a half month of annual A$2.18 EPS which is 27c.
    I have other scenarios too if coal prices drop to various levels. I took figures from annual report on segments and just focused on NSW.
    Saleable production8MMT






    1
    US$AUD$RevenueCostDepreciationProfit Before TaxTaxNPATEarnings per share
    2Current Coal Price3464613,691-500-1203,071-921.22,1492.59
    3Avg coal price 1 Feb to Date3004003,200-500-1202,580-7741,8062.18
    4Scen 12503332,667-500-1202,047-6141,4331.73
    5Scen 22002672,133-500-1201,513-4541,0591.28
    6Scen 31502001,600-500-120980-2946860.83
    7Scen 41001331,067-500-120447-1343130.38
 
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