ARU 0.00% 17.5¢ arafura rare earths ltd

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  1. 554 Posts.
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    Updated some figures from Bell Potter presentation 12 Feb 2022 with current NdPr pricing at US$152 p/kg


    NdPr Production 4440 ton pa

    @ US$152 p/kg

    = US$ 674,880,000

    + Phosphoric acid $58m


    Total revenue US$732.88m


    Mining costs $30m pa

    Processing cost $105m pa

    Admin cost $15m p


    EBITDA $US582m


    EBITDA $AU814m


    Current market cap $542m

    MC 8x EBITDA $4.3b


    Mine life 38years

    Capital cost AU$1056m

    IRR 77%


    Doesn’t take into account dilution, changes in capital costs or currency changes. Also doesn’t account for increases in NdPr and Phosphoric acid prices by the time production has commenced.


    I think it’s more de-risked than the market gives it value for.

 
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