Election is 2023 at the latest, if no coups etc.
They should survive the upcoming no confidence vote, because of their majority (including the various tiny parties they partnered with).
But they're well behind in popularity for the upcoming election. Behind at least 2 other parties. The famous old one Phua Thai, and the new younger-focused one Move Forward.
The junta are the ones who made this mess. They cannot be trusted (to be generous especially). All I trust is that they'll try to avoid being embarrassed in advance of the election - meaning, avoiding a financial penalty from TAFTA - be it by negotiation or deception/delays, depending on which option seems more effective to them.
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