We may get a surprise for Q4 FY22.
Q2 FY22 was $5.4M / 12 weeks (lose a week Christmas) = $450k/week x 13 weeks Q4 FY22 = $5.85M.
Then there is also the 8% fuel levy from April. About $5.5M revenue will be logistics & about 50% is freight + 50% storage fees so about $2.75M x 8% = $220k + $5.85M = $6.07M.
With $4.6M revenue cash burn was $3M for Q3 FY22 - $0.5M cost saving Q4 FY22 = $2.5M cash burn - $850k extra GP = $1.65M cash burn possible.
$7.2M - $1.65M = $5.55M / $1.65M = 3.36 quarters.
Q1 FY23 will have 10% price rise on logistics x $5.5M = + $550k GP & - $500k additional cost savings = $600k cash burn assuming flat growth QOQ. Growth will more likely be 10-15% QOQ. Will be near break even.
Q2 FY23 will be cashflow positive.
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