After some thought over the last couple of days I realize I have under estimated the market correction.
The effect of inflation will have a further impact on global sharer prices than I first thought.
When interest rates rise and the market converts to cash investors will likely be achieving 4 to 5% return.
Typically the market trades with expectations of 3% dividend above the bank rate.
Here is the issue
Typically the bank rate would be 3%,
The ASX 200 stock would provide 6% to 9% return which would cover three factors which are growth, inflation and risk. The growth of 3%, inflation of about 2%, risk 3% to 5% of holding a volatile growth investment.
What is different now.
Resources are at an all time high, inflation is high, return on investment is low and we are approaching a recession, interest rates are rising.
High inflation will impact the demand of investors for higher dividends in the asx.
I was originally only looking at the impact of the bank rate increases effect on dividend demands. This will help explain why BHP is providing 12% return and the market is not valuing them higher. High Inflation will play a larger role in effecting company valuation through expectation of higher dividends.
How will this effect RMS
Door 1 2.3% return in a deflationary gold market.
Door 2. 12% in a diversified miner or an industrial stock.
RMS would need to increase its dividend 400% to meet market demands for better return on investment and compete with inflation.
I am not suggesting RMS increase dividends. I am pointing out a market reality.
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Last
$2.15 |
Change
-0.010(0.46%) |
Mkt cap ! $2.483B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$2.17 | $2.19 | $2.14 | $4.000M | 1.850M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
60 | 83448 | $2.15 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$2.16 | 63118 | 49 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
59 | 84731 | 2.150 |
23 | 105757 | 2.140 |
14 | 54344 | 2.130 |
10 | 317035 | 2.120 |
7 | 40916 | 2.110 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
2.160 | 73227 | 48 |
2.170 | 106475 | 31 |
2.180 | 131093 | 19 |
2.190 | 83271 | 15 |
2.200 | 298919 | 14 |
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