NCK 2.41% $14.47 nick scali limited

Problems, page-3

  1. 824 Posts.
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    If we assume house prices fall by 15% as some forecasters have predicted, and there is a high correlation between the furniture industry and house prices, NCK's revenue may come in at $306mln (0.85 x $360mln).

    If we assume stable gross margins of 63%, the P&L would look something along these lines:

    Gross profit $192mln
    Opex ($112mln)
    Depreciation ($36mln)
    Finance costs ($8mln)
    Profit before tax $36mln

    NPAT @ 30% tax rate = $25mln

    That is a -70% drop from FY21's NPAT of $84mln, and one hell of a profit downgrade.
 
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