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01/11/22
19:28
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Originally posted by Autosime:
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edshann you do appreciate at the start of any mining operations it takes a few months to build inventory. The time from commencement of production to first sales is no different to it was in BFS. 3 months to move plant , build up product and sell. let’s be clear - the Atlas mine at this point starts after the plant is moved, as with Boonanaring the initial build up in inventory tends to be monetised at the end of operations , so in the case the cash flow gap will be 3 months as Image will be selling inventory in the July - sept quarter of 2023 , and will bank approx 30- 32m Either way if they move to Atlas with say 82 m cash and 30 m -32 m in inventory, even if Atlas relocation costs 35m they will still be in a super strong cash position no matter how you look at it, the facts as of today are as follows HMC commands a great price that will increase with increasing Zircon grade expected from the last part of block and Block D- the last 3 quarters will deliver great cash flow to add to existing cash the inventory is worth 30 m land is worth 20 m plus the mining operation is simple, absent of risks associated with most commodities i see clear value for the reasons outlined above at 15 , and bought some today and am in line for more at 14.5 . Absolutely fine if you don’t but in financial methodology terms the DCF impact from a 3 month delay is negligible. Why it’s such a concern for some is perplexing, even more so considering you have no exposure what we get from IMA quarterly is clear and honest commentary on aspects of the operation - if one pays attention to the detail in this reports vs some resource companies , one appreciates what a good management team we have - nothing is left to gues
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I have no exposure because I sold out early this year at 28 cps. I may be interested in IMA when they give us the details of Atlas economics. I bought Iluka instead. A very good decision. The last shipment is July/August 23 (one shipment in the quarter I assume). The first shipment from Atlas is December 23 or January 24. That assumes the timing of approvals and start up is as suggested. The revenue for the half year could well be one shipment. If IMA pay a large dividend in 2023 I would assume not much (if any) in early 2024.
Originally posted by Autosime:
↑
edshann you do appreciate at the start of any mining operations it takes a few months to build inventory. The time from commencement of production to first sales is no different to it was in BFS. 3 months to move plant , build up product and sell. let’s be clear - the Atlas mine at this point starts after the plant is moved, as with Boonanaring the initial build up in inventory tends to be monetised at the end of operations , so in the case the cash flow gap will be 3 months as Image will be selling inventory in the July - sept quarter of 2023 , and will bank approx 30- 32m Either way if they move to Atlas with say 82 m cash and 30 m -32 m in inventory, even if Atlas relocation costs 35m they will still be in a super strong cash position no matter how you look at it, the facts as of today are as follows HMC commands a great price that will increase with increasing Zircon grade expected from the last part of block and Block D- the last 3 quarters will deliver great cash flow to add to existing cash the inventory is worth 30 m land is worth 20 m plus the mining operation is simple, absent of risks associated with most commodities i see clear value for the reasons outlined above at 15 , and bought some today and am in line for more at 14.5 . Absolutely fine if you don’t but in financial methodology terms the DCF impact from a 3 month delay is negligible. Why it’s such a concern for some is perplexing, even more so considering you have no exposure what we get from IMA quarterly is clear and honest commentary on aspects of the operation - if one pays attention to the detail in this reports vs some resource companies , one appreciates what a good management team we have - nothing is left to gues
Expand