If your 100% certain of your model why do you have say 10 of them. Lets say your on average 70% confident of each model.(Seems pretty high to me). You can't get to 90% plus confidence. Political science aside. (Unless the models are unrelated but essentially form one model, getting fanciful) What % of accuracy does BOM put on its forcasts? ------- Hotcopper can make your voice disappear. Where are the missing threads?
