NWE 0.00% 5.6¢ norwest energy nl

Ann: Norwest Energy Reiterates TAKE NO ACTION, page-46

  1. 2,989 Posts.
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    Yep, I hear you and I too was grappling with it for some time. Then I saw the wisdom in their position...which is to wait until the four wells and seismic was done before they did a resource assessment. This is too big.

    Look at their pre drill announcement back in July 2021...they put a number out there and they (unexpectedly) hit it out of the park.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4923/4923541-db66d2697159cf1a79816d42cf5ed7b0.jpg

    So the danger is they will be undercooking it if they do put a number on it right now.

    Look at the possibilities as they currently sit.

    They say reservoir yield is between 80-110 BCF/3 km2 GIP

    A/ Current thinking is reservoir is 102 km2 - lets call this the "expected case"
    B// Whole structure could be 160 km2 - lets call this a "high but possible case".

    So using these rule of thumb calcs...and simple math and extrapolation

    A. We can have 2.7 TCF to 3.7 TCF total. NWE share is 540 - 740 BCF (or 0.54 -0.74 TCF)
    B. We can have 4.3 TCF to 5.9 TCF total. NWE share is 860 - 1180 BCF (0.86-1.2 TCF) interestingly and illustrative of the difficulty here... 1.2 TCF was the pre drill high case...for 100% share!! lol

    These numbers are so big, everyone is frightened of them.

    You, me, others and especially CE and his advisers know this. Hes happy to take a $400M "punt" on this...to get the 20% he does not own outright (I wouldn't be surprised if he had a dream about how fabulously big this is "woke up one morning"). I loaded up on this when they were doing the remedial cement job - the biggest risk for me (discovery) had been well and truly taken out by then.


 
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