DRA 2.95% $1.81 dra global limited

takeover, page-42

  1. 216 Posts.
    I finished my analysis and thanks for the feedback and education! I'm sharing my thoughts in the spirit of cooperation. (I concede I may be wrong but I've taken an approach that reflects the uncertainty around the major variables).

    I think there is a 50% chance DRA is worth 12 or better (25% chance it's worth 14.5) given the 5 yr mine plan and no value to as yet unmade discoveries.

    If this is to be valued as a producer then reasonably you're going to value against at least inferred resources though I mostly give them the benefit of the doubt for Svartliden.

    I'm also 90%+ confident under the same conditions listed above that DRA is worth more than 9c. As pattyp said that really makes a price like 6c very interesting!

    9c is less interesting.

    JID is probably right that there is a lot of potential and you're definitely buying that potential for (less than) free. DRA also has a lot of upside (and downside) to gold movements.

    I'm going to take a 1/4 size position as this meets the criteria for a value investment. Low downside and at least 1/3 upside with some good optionality. Dare I say though, that I think there are better opportunities.
 
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$1.81
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$1.82 $1.82 $1.81 $4.556K 2.51K

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No. Vol. Price($)
1 110 $1.85
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
$1.88 6 1
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