i've been keeping galan for a while and just had some time to try my hand at excel. first of all: i don't want to upset or attack any
one with this post. i hope for a lively discussion about the following pictures. i have largely taken my data from the pea.
npv: 2,193,000,000
capex: 4
39,000,000
opex: 3,518 increased by 8% to 3,799.44
since i don't assume 100% production, i reckoned with a 95% production rate. of which i have assigned only 95% battery grade. i think there might be a misconception on my part. m
aybe someone with a little more experience can advise me here.
revenue battery grade: 20,064 (not from the pea)
revenue technical grade (30% of the battery grade)
i calculated 25% tax on revenue.
next i calculated the npv and the irr. not that it would have any influence on the later calculation of a possible share price. i just wanted to know how close i got to the original. of course i used a different selling price for the carbonate because i had read about a conservative approach. i read several posts from bomber on this which i used for this award. thank you again for your instructive posts!
now i have multiplied the net income by an unusual 6.5 pe ratio to come up with a future share price. i used 2025 as start of production for the calculation. interest rate is 8%. since we assume that half the capex is the capital to be raised, i simulated this by diluting it to $1.60 which gave us the following result.
i did the same with a pe ratio of 12 to show the difference.
i hope you understand my way of thinking and ignore the fact that i have not addressed some things. i'm open to any criticism. all of this, of course, without any financial advice. dyor.
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