If we believe the pro-Putin line that the "about to fall" Bakhmut does indeed fall in the next month or two, by that performance it will take them another 12 months or so to take the larger city of Kramatorsk, then another 12 months for Slovyansk. If they're feeling ambitious and want to take Izyum back, by this timetable they might get it, by 2030 or so, having lost a couple of million men.
More likely, the rapists collapse in a heap and Ukraine gets all its land back, this year.
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