Just remember John Maynard Keynes warning on solvency vs irrationality of the market.
I was short Tesla to the highs of around $410, warning on falling global mkt share of sales to Xpeng, BYD etc. The Twitter deal was a God send to me and I read the boring debt covenants at the SEC and then increased my shorts whilst the lemmings bought more of their deity and called me an idiot. I closed out my short at $108.
Too many people buy on headlines. Fundamentals always come back to roost. Joyce has blown a cool $billion and weakened the balance sheet on a share buyback that was badly needed money for Cap Ex. when airfares and the Qantas brand are falling quickly. This was a purple patch that Qantas sorely needed to shore up its business. Instead the Leprechaun blew on a buyback so he can exit his CEO position with plenty of moolah from his share awards....
Airfares still high says Joyce, yet bar this Saturday I can fly to the Gold Coast from Sydney for less than $100 any weekend I want. Melbourne? Oh, I have to pay $110 this Saturday and next, but otherwise the same. Those fares are near enough 2019 fares.
International flights have dropped significantly. I literally could not fly direct from London to Sydney in October last year, one way on a relatively direct flight for less then $2,500. I ended up flying crappy Air India and having a little holiday as it was cheaper. Direct London to Sydney flights now, even as short dated as March? $1,000 to $1,500.
The closest it provides to guidance is "Fares are expected to moderate during the second half as capacity increases but will remain significantly above FY 2019 levels." Absolute rubbish. Airfares are already at 2019 levels. The cash printing time for QAN has passed.
QAN Price at posting:
$6.08 Sentiment: Sell Disclosure: Not Held
(20min delay)