Have faith Rony. A lot of us know and understand this story. New investers will need a little time to think, research,and understand where we are.
The two things for me about dendreons us fda approval are the opening of the pathway for product,but more so dendreons product price,between $80 000 and $90 000us per patient. Now assuming the cost of a dose is $30 000 [and comes down to $15 000 with economies of scale, but i wont do the sum on that] that leaves the company with <$50 000. Assuming we treat 20% of patients out of the 75 000 that have this shocking cancer[number in australia, europe, japan, and u.s.{318 000 globally per year}]that equates to $750 000 000u.s. At a pe of 10 equals $7.5 bil us market cap. By time of commercialization i estimate 1 bil shares on market, or $7.50 per share. Now lets halve it to save fights. $3.75 per share. 18 cents per share now. Seems a long way between for a 2b and phase 3 trail in a company that is no longer blazing a new trail, and will get there much faster and much cheaper than dendreon.
I am emotionally involved and have alot riding on this. I know the first patient will be announced very soon. I know emda orphan status is ours on 2nd june and u.s. likely around same time, and our euro manufacturing setup cannot be that far away.This will be a huge year for our company. We have experienced how fast the share moves. thank goodness I wont have to buy then.
Lets give the new investors time. its too cheap. They will come.
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