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18/03/23
15:00
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Originally posted by ipv6ready:
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Doubt that, its looking more like shorter who have not unwound their position will make a killing. You likely dont know how much it cost to short nor the mechanics. The first big short 1.5% of AVZ SOI was 19th March at 98c The second occurred early April from $1.2 to early may at $1 (unlike 19th march this period was loys of sizeable parcels rather than 1 huge one) Come open trade even if AVZ gets 100% of everything as nothing ever happened, how many holders will sell, I imagine a significant number.. Imagine AVZ only get 75% good news... how much do you think SP will drop? What if AVZ get bad new ie loses 15% to ZJ, its not end of the world but SP will be around 30c in that case....... Reality is 49% of Manono is huge, in fact bigger than most near term Aussie lithium miners have wet dream about but that has little do with what will happen on opening few days
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what did the market value AVZ at when it thought a ML was imminent? What was the price of SC6 then? If as you put it ‘AVZ gets 100% of everything’ I’d suggest that he price will head north rather quickly.