CUF 11.1% 0.8¢ cufe ltd

Ann: JWD Iron Ore Mine Update, page-10

  1. 88 Posts.
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    Hey qc,

    Obviously depends on a lot of factors and assumptions and using only fundamentals + similar companies P/S and P/E ratios.

    Assumption:
    - Current IO price of 200AUD
    - 500ktpa from JWD @ 100% ownership
    - 250ktpa from Yarram @ 50% ownership (500ktpa if they owned 100%)
    - P/S of 2x and P/E of 4x as per similar companies
    - 1.1b SOI after JWD move to 100%

    SP with P/S 2x:
    (750kt x 200/t) x 2 = 300m MC = 27.3c SP

    SP with P/E 4x:
    JWD and Yarram approx 15m NPAT each = 30m x 4 = 120m MC = 11c SP

    So, fair value when all up and running should be between 11-27c. A big range, I know, but a lot of unknowns at the moment.

    NFA, DYOR.

    WG
 
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