A lot of talk form both US and Iran has occured over the last 10 years - from 2000. Underneath all the hype Iran has been gearing for changing in many many ways - even under the current leader. Women's inheritance law as have been advanced to 25% and soon will be 50%. Like the West. Econmically month after month govt bodies ar being privatised and added to the stock market. Hence the Iranian stock market is flying! Young people and middle class are challening the establishment more and more when it comes to freedom - clothing/make up/music etc. When you drive through the streets all cars have glamourous looking women with LOUD music blaring! It is like the year before Russia cracked. In Fact New York renowed economist Rounbini feels excluding China and Inida the countries with the most chance of good growth in 2011 will be Turkey and Iran.
Bigger than to date sanctions ARE finally coming. Mid - late June.
Iran will hopefully break from within, (highly likely if inflation rises sharp and the poor ones who supported the current leader join the youth, upper and middle classes that make up Mousavi's oppopsition), but one never knows on that side of the world. Perhaps a short Serbia style attack in July is on the cards that leads to regime change. That is what Reza Pahlavi (Shah's eldest son) feels will be needed! Either way a hot summer brewing in the middle east!
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