Hi stumpy,
As always, I really appreciate your financial insights on Vali. Not my strength I afraid to say, but I have tried to take a look at potential short-term gas sale receipts for MEL for the period Feb 21 - March 31, 2023 and then for the April-end June 2nd quarter 2023. Please feel free to correct me wherever you see fit.
When I assume well and facilities are at 100% uptime, 3.9mmscf/d raw gas (3.12mmscf/d hc gas) for Vali1ST1, Vali-2 and Vali-3, and use $6/GJ, for 2Q 2023 I get net revenue to MEL of $1.35 million which is very close to your estimate. For my estimate below, I assumed a certain amount of production/facilities downtime, and different production rates for Vali-2 and Vali-3; perhaps I've been overly conservative....
Now, with a Market Cap. of $21 million, I will be keen to see if these sorts of gas sale receipts numbers sway longer term investor to buy into MEL. Of course, I have not taken into account various expenses incurred by MEL over this period. e.g. interest payments on debt, G&A, cash calls from VEN etc...
SUMMARY
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Kind regards OldGeo
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Last
0.2¢ |
Change
-0.001(20.0%) |
Mkt cap ! $3.674M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | 0.2¢ | $20 | 10K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 6370498 | 0.2¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.3¢ | 10843632 | 8 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 6370498 | 0.002 |
12 | 40390996 | 0.001 |
0 | 0 | 0.000 |
0 | 0 | 0.000 |
0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.003 | 10843632 | 8 |
0.004 | 3847000 | 5 |
0.005 | 1000000 | 1 |
0.006 | 311675 | 1 |
0.008 | 100000 | 1 |
Last trade - 15.14pm 31/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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MEL (ASX) Chart |