PAR 0.00% 19.5¢ paradigm biopharmaceuticals limited..

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  1. 9,840 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 1260
    Yes you're correct 10% of TAM ex China is what they're initial estimating TAM for Zilosoul.

    As previously posted below is a back of the envelop calc for 1% of TAM:

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5162/5162737-4e266c8f7cb816b4d36ec8d1bfc6f201.jpg

    Notes:
    • If price for Zilsoul becomes US$6,500 share price = $63
    • EV/Revenue multiple of 15 likely to be very conservative given duration and reoccurring treatment protocol (compound effect)
    • Humira achieved +65% of market share in RA
    • China by itself could increase TAM by >20%
 
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