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Ann: Initiation of Phase 2 Trial for Efti in Soft Tissue Sarcoma, page-8

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  1. 601 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 839
    Many variables in trying to value a immuno-oncology drug.

    Below based on US Bio research specialist. A rough guide only.

    Start of each phase - oncology single molecule valuation estimation ($US)

    Phase 1 $105M - Probability of FDA approval: 12%
    Phase 2 $285m - probability of FDA approval: 20%
    Phase 3 $1,248m - probability of FDA approval: 56%
    Completion phase 3 - FDA submission - $3,500m
    FDA approved and commercialisation - $4,500m+

    Above could be multiplied by x% based on multiple indications.

    So, what's Efti worth right now?

 
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