WA1 0.53% $17.16 wa1 resources ltd

Ann: West Arunta Project - Exceptional Luni Assay Results, page-332

  1. 392 Posts.
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    Back of envelope PFS?
    Resource:
    Open cut pit 500m x 500m with ore body 12m thick = 3m cubic meters.
    SG of ore @ 3.5 x 3m = 10.5mt

    Grade = 2%
    Ferro Nb (65%) = 210,000 tons
    Mine life = 10 years @ 21,000 tpa

    Price $40,000 = $840m
    Costs (assume $20,000 per ton Nb) = $420m

    Cashflow = $420m pa

    Tax @30% = $126M

    Net Profit = $294m pa

    Capex (assume $250m, debt funded)

    Future EPS (Assume 60m SOI including anticipated CR) = $4.90

    PE ratio of 4 x EPS = $19.60 future SP
    PE ratio of 8 x EPS = $39.20 future SP

    The above calculations are realistic and conservative on known information, a lot could go wrong however, it is probable that as and if a larger resource is defined my figures may be extremely conservative.

    A takeover target is probably on the cards!

    All conjecture but makes me feel very positive.




 
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