I love the way people keep referring to the 2.34 as if is a reference point. It only spent two days above 1.90. So on the third day it closed at 1.755 that's a 25% drop in two days (it's a disaster, the biggest two day drop in its entire history). The problem is that the FOMO resulted in some fools paying over $2 until the market ran out of fools.
Trying to make rational decisions by using an irrational market as a reference point is foolish. I was fortunate I have seen this explosive behaviour before in the market. I saw the plunge from the peak 2.34 to a low of 1.33 in 5 days. Then came the bounce that is so so common in these explosive markets in the next 4 days it bounce up to 1.89 and started downwards ( by then as a chartist it was so obvious that this was a dead cat bounce (DCB) I sold a small portion of my holding at 1.63 (which I bought in single digits) 12 days after the peak. More than free carry the rest of my BRN shares, after the 50% long term investment discount I would have still had to pay CGT for the other 50%. I took the opportunity to get rid of 4 of my underwater species (BRN had been one of my species) and paid no CGT. If I had sold the lot the CGT would have been huge)
As it turns out I have shares that cost me nothing and are worth 0.43 cents each currently. I am holding them instead of selling them (whereby paying CGT) because in the long term I can see them paying an annual franked divided some multiple times the original purchase price.
If I have some more underwater species carrying a loss and need some cash then I can balance the CGT against the loss and pay no tax.
So there is no way I see a loss of 85% from the peak of 2.34. I don't even see a loss from 1.63 to 0.43 as a real loss because after paying CGT that real sale price comes down to about 1.30 after tax.
After the sale of the small portion I more than free carried that means that there was excessed cash above my total entry cost.
Anyway it's late.
Goodluck
cheers Lies
BRN
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Last
21.5¢ |
Change
0.015(7.50%) |
Mkt cap ! $435.4M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
20.0¢ | 22.0¢ | 20.0¢ | $2.622M | 12.50M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
36 | 703027 | 21.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
22.0¢ | 3080400 | 69 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
27 | 605535 | 0.215 |
35 | 827203 | 0.210 |
23 | 932612 | 0.205 |
34 | 1931143 | 0.200 |
57 | 2444172 | 0.195 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.220 | 3164624 | 70 |
0.225 | 605915 | 20 |
0.230 | 1143732 | 30 |
0.235 | 233157 | 12 |
0.240 | 113037 | 10 |
Last trade - 13.29pm 16/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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