My assessment is that all energy transition policies generally are hopelessly inadequate to address the problem. In all probability we will have a series of climate disasters in the coming decade which will shake everyone out of their complacency. But along with those disasters we could also have a climate change recession, which might be like the Covid recession, but getting worse every year. In that scenario, it would be like the forces of nature forming a grand alliance with the invisible hand of the market and causing massive economic hardship on top of all the floods and heat waves and bushfires, vastly reducing our ability to invent and manufacture the hydrogen solutions which are currently in the planning stage.
But if our economies can hold it together as the climate worsens, maybe the "early" investments like those of FFI will put it in a good position when governments finally get real about this.
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