Flannery, page-29

this is the two-fold problem with modelling tarvold.

modelling cannot help but be inaccurate, and early modelling was worse than inaccurate as the variables were clearly inadequate to define predictions.

the second problem is people took modelling as truly predictive. no predictions can ever be accurate even if the variables were all included.

its the physics that provides the insight need to see where GW is going.

heat a gas and what happens? volatility increases. simple enough yet immensely complex..... then using chaos theory to include the variables and you have what we are seeing today all over the world.

think about it, read about it and think some more.